Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Drew Millas C
- 7 José Tena DH
- 8 Jorbit Vivas 2B
- 9 Joey Wiemer CF
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Adolis García RF
- 6 Edmundo Sosa 2B
- 7 Otto Kemp LF
- 8 Brandon Marsh CF
- 9 Rafael Marchán C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution +8.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.85 projection by 8.15 (scored 13)
- Game variance +8.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tena 3-for-5 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.21 vs actual lineup 3.22
- Player execution −1.22 R/G Players fell 1.22 short of the lineup's 3.22 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marchán HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.2 — actual was 13 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.