Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Carter Jensen DH
- 6 Jonathan India 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Michael Harris II CF
- 8 Dominic Smith DH
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution −1.44 R/G Players fell 1.44 short of the lineup's 3.44 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Garcia 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.52 vs actual lineup 3.41
- Player execution +2.59 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.41 projection by 2.59 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.48 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Smith HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.5 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.