Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Smith 2B
- 7 Josh Jung 3B
- 8 Evan Carter CF
- 9 Danny Jansen C
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.77
- Player execution +0.23 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.77 projection by 0.23 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.49 vs actual lineup 2.42
- Player execution +1.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.42 projection by 1.58 (scored 4)
- Game variance +1.51 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turner 0-for-5 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 2.5 — actual was 5 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.