Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 2 Gleyber Torres DH
- 3 Zach McKinstry 2B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 7 Dillon Dingler C
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Fernando Tatis RF
- 2 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 3 Manny Machado 3B
- 4 Jackson Merrill CF
- 5 Miguel Andujar DH
- 6 Ramón Laureano LF
- 7 Ty France 1B
- 8 Jake Cronenworth 2B
- 9 Luis Campusano C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.80 vs actual lineup 2.79
- Player execution +2.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.79 projection by 2.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Carpenter 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.26 vs actual lineup 4.28
- Player execution −2.28 R/G Players fell 2.28 short of the lineup's 4.28 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.3 — actual was 5 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.