Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo DH
- 5 Bo Naylor C
- 6 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 7 CJ Kayfus LF
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 Brayan Rocchio 2B
- 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Luke Raley RF
- 7 Dominic Canzone DH
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Leo Rivas SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.15 vs actual lineup 3.11
- Player execution −2.11 R/G Players fell 2.11 short of the lineup's 3.11 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.29 vs actual lineup 3.27
- Player execution +1.73 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.27 projection by 1.73 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.71 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Young HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.3 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.