Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Oswald Peraza 2B
- 1 Jeremy Peña SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez LF
- 3 Isaac Paredes DH
- 4 Jose Altuve 2B
- 5 Carlos Correa 3B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Christian Walker 1B
- 8 Yainer Diaz C
- 9 Brice Matthews CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.69 vs actual lineup 4.75
- Player execution +1.25 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.75 projection by 1.25 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Soler 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.94
- Player execution −2.94 R/G Players fell 2.94 short of the lineup's 4.94 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Paredes 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 4.8 — actual was 6 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.