PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.