PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →