PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .487 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.