PITCHER MATCHUP
Zebby Matthews vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Zebby Matthews's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.