PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.