PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 23%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.