PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 23%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.