PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Christian Encarnacion-Strand RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.