PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →