PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.