PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 23%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →