PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 5%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.