PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Cutter 13%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-18 game page →