PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 676 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.