PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .406
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.