PITCHER MATCHUP

Zebby Matthews vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zebby Matthews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zebby Matthews's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 24%Cutter 13%Changeup 12%Curveball 9%Sinker 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zebby Matthews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .408
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.