PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.