PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .217Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.