PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .231Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 10%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JB JJ Bleday LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TF TJ Friedl LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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