PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .217Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.