PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.