PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.