PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .226Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →