PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.