PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .222Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →