PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .210 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.