PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .207 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.