PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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