PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.