PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.