PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .235Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 10%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .446 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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