PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .222Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.