PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .222Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.