PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.