PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .235Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 10%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CN Connor Norby RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.