PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .217Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →