PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.