PITCHER MATCHUP
Zack Wheeler vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Zack Wheeler's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.