PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .226Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.