PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .219Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →