PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .223Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 647 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →