PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.