PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .226Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 12%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.