PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Wheeler vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Wheeler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Wheeler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .222Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Splitter 11%Cutter 10%Curveball 9%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Wheeler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →