PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IC Isaac Collins SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Lane Thomas RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SM Starling Marte RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyler Tolbert RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Tolbert
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.