PITCHER MATCHUP
Zack Littell vs Kansas City Royals
How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Zack Littell's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%
How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IC Isaac Collins SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MM Michael Massey LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.