PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.