PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →