PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.