PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.