PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.