PITCHER MATCHUP
Zack Littell vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Zack Littell's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.