PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Colton Cowser LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →