PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.