PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.