PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 25%Sinker 15%Sweeper 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LR Luke Raley LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MG Mitch Garver RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .201 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.