PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.