PITCHER MATCHUP

Zack Littell vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zack Littell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Splitter 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-29 game page →