PITCHER MATCHUP
Zack Littell vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zack Littell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Zack Littell's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 29%Splitter 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 15%Sweeper 7%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zack Littell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.