PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026
Cutter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 15%Sinker 11%Slider 6%Curveball 5%Changeup 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →