PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026
Cutter 36%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 14%Sweeper 11%Slider 8%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.