PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026
Cutter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 7%Slider 5%Changeup 5%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.