PITCHER MATCHUP

Zach Thornton vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zach Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zach Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 21%Sweeper 12%Slider 8%Curveball 3%Changeup 3%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zach Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .333
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .379
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.