PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Cutter 35%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 15%Sweeper 12%Slider 6%Changeup 3%Curveball 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →