PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026
Cutter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 15%Sinker 10%Slider 6%Curveball 5%Changeup 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.