PITCHER MATCHUP

Zach Thornton vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zach Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zach Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Cutter 35%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 15%Sweeper 12%Slider 6%Changeup 3%Curveball 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zach Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .339
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC Jackson Chourio SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 GS Gary Sánchez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gary Sánchez
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →