PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026
Cutter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 14%Sinker 13%Slider 6%Changeup 5%Curveball 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.