PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026
Cutter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 7%Slider 5%Changeup 5%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.