PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Cutter 35%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 15%Sweeper 12%Slider 6%Changeup 3%Curveball 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →