PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026
Cutter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 7%Slider 5%Changeup 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.