PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Thornton vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Thornton's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Thornton's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026
Cutter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 15%Sinker 11%Slider 6%Curveball 5%Changeup 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Thornton, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 656 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.