PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Knuckle Curve 23%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BB Byron Buxton RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →