PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 16%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.