PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.