PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Knuckle Curve 23%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.