PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.