PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 16%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.