PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.