PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 16%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .260
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.