PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 16%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.