PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Knuckle Curve 23%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →