PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 16%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.