PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →