PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.