PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Knuckle Curve 23%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-25 game page →