PITCHER MATCHUP

Zac Gallen vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Zac Gallen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Zac Gallen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Knuckle Curve 22%Changeup 16%Slider 15%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Zac Gallen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.