PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →