PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 640 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.