PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →