PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →