PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Splitter 26%Curveball 17%Cutter 12%Sinker 9%Slider 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →