PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →