PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.