PITCHER MATCHUP
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 5%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .213 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.