PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .213 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.