PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Splitter 26%Curveball 17%Cutter 12%Sinker 9%Slider 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Leody Taveras SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →