PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .457 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.