PITCHER MATCHUP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yoshinobu Yamamoto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Splitter 26%Curveball 16%Cutter 12%Sinker 10%Slider 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .460 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →